Published: Sun, June 04, 2017
Economy | By Melissa Porter

UK PM Theresa May's Conservative Party see poll lead narrow again

UK PM Theresa May's Conservative Party see poll lead narrow again

New constituency-by-constituency modelling by YouGov showed the Conservative Party might lose 20 of the 330 seats it holds while the opposition Labour Party could gain almost 30 seats, The Times said.

In stark contrast to opinion polls that have until the past week shown May on course for a big win in the snap election she called, the YouGov model suggested May would lose 20 seats and her 17-seat working majority in the 650-seat British parliament.

Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats are on 7 per cent from 8 per cent, UKIP remain on 4 per cent and votes for other parties are at 8 per cent from 7 per cent.

In a hectic campaign which was suspended after the Manchester bombing last week, pollsters, who universally got it wrong before the last vote in 2015, have offered a vast range for the result of the election: From May losing her majority to a landslide victory for her Conservatives of more than 100 seats.

"The alternative is that all those young Corbynistas will prove a mirage and that some polls still contain too numerous sort of young people who vote, with the end result being that the Conservatives win a large or landslide majority", he said.

However, a series of political blunders, alongside a populist Labour campaign have put the Prime Minister firmly on the defensive and investors have awoken to the fact that her promise of a strong and stable government could be in real jeopardy.

What do YouGov's figures show?

Sterling fell in early dealings Wednesday after a shock opinion poll warned Prime Minister Theresa May could lose her majority in next week's general election. So a nine point lead could mean that Theresa May would find herself left with a modest majority of no more than 30-40 seats.

Under Jeremy Corbyn's leadership, Labour has built up a huge lead among younger voters, particularly those aged between 18 and 24, two out of three of whom say they will vote for the party.

Labour owes some of its rise in the polls to Corbyn's improved rating as voters discover the Labour leader's agreeable, easy manner on the campaign trail. Yesterday a poll from Kantar showed the Tories' lead over Labour had stretched to 10 points. "The prime minister seems to have difficulties in meeting anyone or having a debate", Corbyn said.

Corbyn and Farron were joined by the leaders of the Green party, the UK Independence Party and Welsh nationalists Plaid Cymru and the deputy leader of the Scottish National Party.

May was heavily criticized for sending Home Secretary Amber Rudd to represent the Conservatives.

"The sort of campaign I want to do is about meeting people and taking questions", she said.

May has repeatedly sought to present herself as the only party leader able to make a success of Brexit, though she has given few details of how she will handle the negotiations.

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